Sports Picks & Predictions

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Boston Red Sox -134

The Boston Red Sox really got their bats going yesterday in a 17-0 victory over the Chicago Cubs.  They should keep them going against Hayden Wesneski and the Cubs tonight, who will be making this a bullpen game.

Tanner Houck has been impressive in five starts for the Red Sox this season, going 3-2 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.98 WHIP while allowing just 6 earned runs and one homer in 32 2/3 innings with 32 K's.  The Cubs are without two of their best hitters in Bellinger and Suzuki, plus Christopher Morel is questionable after suffering an injury yesterday.

Boston is 17-5 in its last 22 games after scoring 9 runs or more.  Chicago is 6-15 in its last 21 games when revenging a loss where they scores one run or fewer.  The Red Sox are 15-3 in their last 18 games after hitting .333 or better over their last three games.  Bet the Red Sox Sunday night.

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15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Rangers OVER 8.5

Two above-average offenses square off today in Texas against two below-average starting pitchers.  The Reds are scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Rangers are scoring 4.6 runs per game this season.

Andrew Abbott lacks elite stuff with just 20 K's in 27 2/3 innings and 11 walks and 3 homers allowed.  I expect the Rangers to tee off on him.  But the Reds will also tee off on Dane Dunning, who is 2-2 with a 4.61 ERA with 7 homers and 16 walks allowed in 27 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are hitting .277 and scoring 5.4 runs per game this season, including .287 and 6.2 runs per game against right-handed-starters.  They will get 6-plus in this one and lead the way in us cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.

Kevin Gausman is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in five starts for the Blue Jays this season, including 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in two home starts.  Gausman is 1-4 with a 4.31 ERA in eight career starts against the Dodgers.

Michael Grove will be making his first start of the season for the Dodgers.  He has posted a 6.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 15 innings in relief this season.  Grove is 3-3 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 113 1/3 innings in the big leagues.  The Blue Jays will have a lot of success at the plate today as well.

The Dodgers are 10-1 OVER in their last 11 road games against AL East opponents.  Toronto is 23-8 OVER in its last 31 Sunday games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+110)

The Baltimore Orioles have a massive advantage at the plate today over the Oakland A's that should lead them to winning this game by two or more runs.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game while the A's are scoring just 2.7 runs per game.

I've been very impressed with Albert Suarez, who will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Orioles.  Suarez is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in two starts this season, pitching 11 1/3 shutout innings while allowing just 9 base runners.  He will shut down the A's, who have scored 3 runs or fewer in nine consecutive games after getting shut out yesterday.

Baltimore is 26-7 in its last 33 games against bad teams that are outscored by one or more runs per game and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Plays on home favorites of -150 or more (Baltimore) - an excellent power team averaging 1.5 or more homers per game after allowing one run or less are 80-14 (85.1%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Sunday.

15* Timberwolves/Suns TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 212.5

Minnesota controlled the tempo in the first two games of this series at home.  They won 120-95 and 105-93.  Phoenix got more of their tempo in Game 3 in a 126-109 loss that saw 235 combined points.  It will be more of the same in Game 4 today.

The Timberwolves are the best defensive team in the NBA which is why they have had success in this series.  But I think they let go of the rope a little here after taking a commanding 3-0 series lead.  I expect the best offensive performance of the series for the Suns in Game 4 tonight.

But the problem with the Suns is they don't defend and get owned on the board.  The Timberwolves have scored 126, 120 and 105 points in the first three games in this series while dominating the board.  They will continue to light it up offensively in this one.  Bet the OVER in Game 4 Sunday.

15* Knicks/76ers ABC Early ANNIHILATOR on New York +4.5

The New York Knicks are the better, deeper team in this series.  They took care of business at home winning the first two games of this series.  They had a bit of a letdown in Game 3 while the 76ers wanted it more.  I think the Knicks fire back in Game 4 today.

The 76ers actually trailed at halftime and had everything go right for them and still struggled to put the Knicks away in Game 3.  They shot 54.7% as a team and 15-of-31 (48.4%) from 3.  Joel Embiid scored 50 points on only 19 shots.  That's not going to happen again.  The 76ers made 15 more FT than the Knicks and got the benefit of the whistle, which is also unlikely to happen again.

The Knicks are 21-11 ATS off a loss this season, including 13-5 ATS off a road loss.  They are a very motivated, resilient bunch and I expect them to fire back in a big way in Game 4, especially after the dirty play Embiid made on Mitchell Robinson in Game 3.  Bet the Knicks in Game 4 Sunday.